MONTEVIDEO – None of Uruguay’s presidential candidates will obtain an outright majority in the Oct. 26 election, necessitating a runoff, according to a poll released Tuesday by Factum.
The firm surveyed 1,000 people nationwide between Sep. 26-Oct. 1 and the poll has a margin of error of +/- 3.2 percent.
Former President Tabare Vazquez, candidate of the ruling Frente Amplio coalition, was the choice of 43 percent of respondents, followed by the National Party’s Louis Alberto Lacalle Pou, with 32 percent.
Sen. Pedro Bordaberry, Colorado Party candidate and the son of former dictator Juan Maria Bordaberry, came in at 15 percent, while Independent Party hopeful Pablo Mieres registered at 3 percent.
Several minor-party candidates divided 2 percent. Three percent said they were undecided and another 3 percent said they plan to cast blank ballots.
The numbers have remained stable for the past three months, Factum said.
Survey data indicate Uruguayan voters will have to return to the polls on Nov. 30 to decide whether Vazquez or Lacalle Pou will become the next president on March 1, 2015, Factum director Eduardo Botinelly said.
The poll also shows it is unlikely Frente Amplio will retain its current majority in the legislature.