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  HOME | Opinion (Click here for more)

Beatrice Rangel: On Predictions of War & Global Confusion


By Beatrice E. Rangel

As Paris reeled under the weight of tragedy and unusually taxing security measures, the world commanding heights met at the G20's tenth summit meeting. In the midst of an unclarified chain of events leading to the Friday the 13th attack, the world leadership attempted to deal with the situation by means of reshuffling some geopolitical tasks in favor of Russia's desires to see its status of world power codified. With a renewed role for Russia, perhaps the shaky Middle East situation could be brought back to stability.

But as soon as geopolitical connoisseurs had expressed hope in the new arrangement, terrorists struck another blow to world stability by staging a takeover of a hotel in Mali. The Mali attack revealed a sophisticated web of communication networks that resorting to domestic devices could follow closely the moves of local authorities as well as that of incoming and outgoing visitors to better target their attack time so that it would meet least resistance and have the most destructive power. And they succeeded!!!


Meanwhile all over Europe authorities scrambled to concentrate resources in capital cities and especially likely terrorist targets like the Coliseum, the Berlin Opera House, Covent Garden and Cibeles Square. Such mobilization aims at convincing citizens that their authorities know how to provide security and at planting in terrorist minds the idea that the cost of perpetrating an attack would be higher than the benefits accruing to such operation.

This thinking is bound to meet failure in seeking to vanquish a suicidal enemy. To begin with, it is quite obvious now that only Israel has been able to dissect the logics of terrorism and translate this exercise into viable national security plans. Second, US and Europe are founded upon the principle of rule of law. This entails respect for human life and some basic principles of civility.

The terrorist mind sees human life as an input to the terror creating process and has no regard whatsoever for rules of engagement. This propels them to define success as their capacity to create chaos. And chaos has no rules. Under such circumstances a thoroughly thought out hierarchical contention plan is obsolete before it is implemented.

Accordingly, terrorists know that they only need to "lie low" for a while and retake the offensive at a later day. They also know that these "security operations" are only temporary, as the cost of maintaining them permanently would bankrupt any authority. Meanwhile, terrorists have access to a very rich spring of invisible sources of revenue such as the product of counterfeit goods, drug and human trafficking, weapons trade, etc.

This asymmetric war does not bode well for prospects for world stability over the next two or three decades which will be the time frame to resolve the underlying structural problem that nurtures terrorism, which is, of course, is inequality.

Prior to the internet people had little means to compare their lifestyles to other groups within a nation or among countries. Now everything is painfully visible and resentment builds especially when circumstances are dire.

In this stage of world economic development, dire circumstances are the new normal for the many. Because the internet has changed the logics of value creation but has failed to change educational systems to match the new logics with the skillset needed to earn good salaries, most people are consequently tied to unproductive low paying jobs. This allows dogmatism and extreme religious thinking to flower. And once they settle into unemployed, idle young minds, tragedy is bound to occur.

Eventually the world will come round to the need to restructure the whole productive edifice just like the US did after the 1928 financial crisis. But, in the meantime we are going to face bumpy weather, loss of life and the destruction of historical sites. We will also witness the growth in numbers of "sleeper cells" in emerging markets where they will await their opportunity to earn eternal life through martyrdom. This seems to be surfacing in Honduras, Venezuela, Uruguay, and Guatemala today.


Beatrice Rangel is President & CEO of the AMLA Consulting Group, which provides growth and partnership opportunities in US and Hispanic markets. AMLA identifies the best potential partner for businesses which are eager to exploit the growing buying power of the US Hispanic market and for US Corporations seeking to find investment partners in Latin America. Previously, she was Chief of Staff for Venezuela President Carlos Andres Perez as well as Chief Strategist for the Cisneros Group of Companies.

For her work throughout Latin America, Rangel has been honored with the Order of Merit of May from Argentina, the Condor of the Andes Order from Bolivia, the Bernardo O'Higgins Order by Chile, the Order of Boyaca from Colombia, and the National Order of Jose Matías Delgado from El Salvador.

You can follow her on twitter @BEPA2009 or contact her directly at BRangel@amlaconsulting.com.



Also by Beatrice Rangel in her Latin America from 35,000 Feet series

Beatrice Rangel: Of Burning Airplanes & Argentinean Tsunamis

Beatrice Rangel: The Good, the Bad, and the Ugly in the Americas!!

Beatrice Rangel: Buena Vista's Magic Covers the Americas

Beatrice Rangel: Pride and Perjury in the Americas

Beatrice Rangel: Trompe L’oeils Proliferate in the Americas

Beatrice Rangel: The Economic Consequences of Peace in Latin America

Beatrice Rangel: Colombia, the FARC & the Makings of Gangland in Latin America

Beatrice Rangel: When Extreme Weather Meets Extreme Politics Calamities are Bound to Happen

Beatrice Rangel: When Ladies Hit 70

Beatrice Rangel: About Uninformed Elites and Gullible Leaders

Beatrice Rangel: On US-Engineered Soft Landings in Cuba and Venezuela

Beatrice Rangel: On the Many Ways Cecil Matters

Beatrice Rangel: Blue Moons Lead to Extraordinary Happenings in the Americas

Beatrice Rangel: On Why Embassy Openings Do Not Necessarily Herald Different Policies

Beatrice Rangel: When Jupiter meets Venus

Beatrice Rangel: When Markets and Manners Crash

Beatrice Rangel: From Grexit to Exit, Contagion is in the Air

Beatrice Rangel: An Infuriated God & An Environmental Crusader Mark the Summer Solstice

Beatrice Rangel: Between Ionesco & the Falklands Syndrome

Beatrice Rangel: The Ugly Americas

Beatrice Rangel: How FIFA Corrupted the Beautiful Game in the Americas and World

Beatrice Rangel: Could the US RICO Act Be Applied to Latin America?

Beatrice Rangel: On the Discreet Charm of Commodities for Latin America

Beatrice Rangel: The End of the Chinese Free Lunch in the Americas!!

Beatrice Rangel: The Crooked Twig of Democracy in the Americas

Beatrice Rangel: Of a White Knight for Three Latin American Ladies in Distress

Beatrice Rangel: Withdrawal Symptoms?

Beatrice Rangel: The Un-Mannered Summit

Beatrice Rangel: Easter Miracles in Latin America and the World

Beatrice Rangel: Two Islands, Two Legacies & One Challenge - Modernity

Beatrice Rangel: Killing Me Softly -- the Obama Administration’s Legacy in Latin America

Beatrice Rangel: Of Upcoming Dynasties and Exhausted Ideas in Latin America

Beatrice Rangel: Of Thunderous Silences, Quiet Noises and Flash Backs in Latin America

Beatrice Rangel: Latin America's Dangerous Exports to Europe & the Demise of an Old Fox

Beatrice Rangel: Of Sweet Deals, Sugar Daddies, Direct Mail & Obama’s Care

Beatrice Rangel: Of Latin American Singing Birds, Femme Fatales & Empty Shelves

Beatrice Rangel: When Flying Dragons & Rage Infusions Turn Against Their Latin American Masters

Beatrice Rangel: Holy Haberdashery!!! Is Fire Building Under the Surface in the Americas??

Beatrice Rangel: 2015 -- A Year for Balance in the Americas???

Beatrice Rangel: Pope Francis Looks at the Americas In His Christmas Remarks

Beatrice Rangel: The Paint Brush Hanging from the Wall in Latin America

Beatrice Rangel: A Future for the Americas??

Beatrice Rangel: Going Forward, Going Backward -- It's the Americas!!

Beatrice Rangel: An Eerily Familiar Week in the Americas

Beatrice Rangel: Tale of Two Walls

Beatrice Rangel: Across the Americas, We the PEOPLE

Beatrice Rangel: Across Latin America, The Populist Beat Goes On!!

Beatrice Rangel: Oh My, The Patron of the Eternal Feminine Has Left Us!!!

Beatrice Rangel: Communism from China to Cuba Finds Corruption!!!

Beatrice Rangel: From Rio to Hong Kong Discontent Taps the East to Find a New Way

Beatrice Rangel: Will Latin America Miss the Broadband Development Target?

Beatrice Rangel: Kissinger’s World Order and Latin America

Beatrice Rangel: The Third Attempt -- Will Modernity Prevail in Latin America?

Rangel: While US is Away, Latin America Rethinks Development Paths

Rangel: In the Midst of Riots, a Star is Born in Brazil

Rangel: In Mexico Cinderella Gets to the Ball while Colombia Gets a Chance at Peace


 

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