WASHINGTON – The white population will no longer be the majority in the United States by 2043, two years after the general population is forecast to exceed 400 million, according to demographic projections published on Wednesday by the Census Bureau.
That change is a result of two key trends: on the one hand, the increase in the Hispanic population, which will rise from 53.3 million at present to 128.8 million by 2060 and, on the other, the decrease in the white population both in total numbers as well as in percentage.
If the current trends remain in place, in 2060 about one in every three U.S. residents will be of Hispanic origin, compared with around one in six now.
The black population will increase from 41.2 million to 61.8 million, according to the projections, and that group’s percentage of the total population will increase from 13.1 percent to 14.7 percent by 2060.
The report released Wednesday is the first one to include demographic projections based on the 2010 Census.
“The next half century marks key points in continuing trends – the U.S. will become a plurality nation, where the non-Hispanic white population remains the largest single group, but no group is in the majority,” Acting Census Director Thomas L. Mesenbourg said.
According to the latest Census projections, the U.S. population will grow at a slower pace in the coming decades, compared with the projections made in 2008 and 2009, reflecting declines in birth rates and net immigration.
The number of people older than 65 will more than double between 2012 and 2060 from 43.1 million to 92 million, while the over-85 group will more than triple, from 5.9 million to 18.2 million. EFE