By Beatrice E. Rangel
On July 31st a blue moon guided sailors and birds alike to their resting summer destinations to prepare for autumn and its end of the year push. As the 13th moon in 2015 this blue moon brings many revelations. They take place many miles apart but are linked by what seems to be a growing fatigue with political developments.
In the US the great revelation has been Donald Trump or rather the following he has managed to build in such a brief time spam. In Argentina Daniel Scioli seems to be on his way to wrap the presidential elections in Argentina without having to face a run-off. This seems to be quite remarkable for a candidate who represents the governing party which is experiencing a popularity dive. Both events however different and distant spring from the same source: civic anomia.
In the U.S. people are confused and infuriated at a political establishment that fails to conclude agreements or put divides to rest in crucial areas for the country's development, such as education, health care, national security, economic policy and trade.
It is also beginning to seem unfair the kind of treatment the establishment dispenses to the Chief Executive. President Obama has had to deal with unbecoming attitudes by members of his party concerning his ability to negotiate and close foreign trade agreements. He has had to heroically thrive under a torrent of insulting opinions about his true motivations, his skills and his fitness to be the President of the United States by Republicans.
And together with President Obama, citizens are also directly affected by these interactions when their health coverage is held at ransom by an ideological fight about the insurance exchange sustaining the Affordable Care Act.
For many moons they lack guidance and see their country surrounded by endless hostility and danger. They feel their freedoms hijacked by domestic violence and their income crunched by rising price levels while jobs are continually squeezed or altogether eliminated to compete with Asian nations.
Under such circumstances, Mr. Trump emerges as the dreamed White Knight who could save the U.S. from further despair. Many have compared Mr. Trump to Ross Perot. But time will most probably prove wrong those who see Mr. Trump in this light. Mr. Perotís success was predicated on an anti-taxation platform. Mr. Trumps success rides on the horses of frustration. And these chargers can take societies to unexpected destinations like isolationism, segregation and violence.
Fortunately for the U.S., its voters are centrists. But this attitude prevails during soft wind times. Should hurricane prone political winds continue to batter the U.S. maybe not even a blue moon could make the magic of promoting welfare and consensus.
In Argentina the population seems drained by 12 years of pugnacity. To be sure, ever since President Nestor Kirchner came to power this bucolic country has faced a continuing tug of war between government and diverse institutions.
The administration has defied all public powers, unions, political parties, media and even the Catholic Church. This continuous bullying normally ends without definition, as on the brink of disaster the government steps back to leave the adversary with the gloves on and the body full of senseless bruises.
Ancient alchemists would have been a great following for Mr. and Mrs. Kirchner, given that they desperately searched for the energy that would warrant perpetual movement to things. Under the Kirchner administration, Argentineans had to move fast in order to just maintain ground. Inflation has skyrocketed, irascibility consolidated and the private sector has lost so much ground that unemployment is kept in check through government subsidies.
Thus, Argentina's society is desperately looking for an appeaser. And no one better than Mr. Scioli to play that role. For the better part of these past 12 years, Mr. Scioli has been insulted, despised, reviled and -- more recently under favorable conditions -- ignored by the head of state and her acolytes. This mercurial treatment has been returned with silence, smiles and support. He is thus regarded as the first among many victims and in need of recognition. And that he shall have in August with the primaries and then October when presidential elections come. And he will perhaps be a beneficiary of this yearís blue moon which is supposed to better wrap the Southern Hemisphere. Luckily or unluckily for the Americas, we will not see another blue moon until January of 2018.Beatrice Rangel is President & CEO of the AMLA Consulting Group, which provides growth and partnership opportunities in US and Hispanic markets. AMLA identifies the best potential partner for businesses which are eager to exploit the growing buying power of the US Hispanic market and for US Corporations seeking to find investment partners in Latin America. Previously, she was Chief of Staff for Venezuela President Carlos Andres Perez as well as Chief Strategist for the Cisneros Group of Companies.
For her work throughout Latin America, Rangel has been honored with the Order of Merit of May from Argentina, the Condor of the Andes Order from Bolivia, the Bernardo O'Higgins Order by Chile, the Order of Boyaca from Colombia, and the National Order of Jose MatŪas Delgado from El Salvador.
You can follow her on twitter @BEPA2009 or contact her directly at BRangel@amlaconsulting.com.
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